Comprehensive Analysis of Ten UFC Fighters: Performance Patterns and Opponent Insights
I. Introduction
This report provides a comprehensive analysis of ten selected Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) athletes: Allan Nascimento, Mateusz Gamrot, Rayanne dos Santos, Billy Ray Goff, Erin Blanchfield, Jordan Leavitt, Bolaji Oki, Zachary Reese, Macy Chiasson, and Dustin Jacoby. The primary objective is to gather detailed information on these fighters, with a specific focus on their previous opponents. This includes an examination of opponent fighting styles, professional records (particularly at the time of their bout with the subject fighter), and physical attributes. By leveraging data from sources such as espn.com/mma, sherdog.com, and ufcstats.com, this analysis aims to identify and understand patterns in the performances of the listed fighters, offering a deeper perspective on their strengths, vulnerabilities, and career trajectories. The report will culminate in a synthesis of these findings, providing strategic considerations relevant to their future matchups and overall standing within their respective divisions.
II. Fighter Profiles and Performance Pattern Analysis
This section delves into individual profiles for each of the ten fighters, followed by an analysis of their performance patterns based on their opponent history.
II.1. Allan Nascimento: Profile and Performance Pattern Analysis
- A. Fighter Snapshot
- Biographical Data: Allan “Puro Osso” (translates to “Just Bones”) Nascimento is a Brazilian mixed martial artist, born on September 11, 1991, making him 33 years old as of mid-2025.1 He hails from São Paulo, Brazil.1
- Physical Attributes: Nascimento stands at 5 feet 8 inches (approximately 173 cm) tall, with a reach of 69 inches (approximately 175 cm). He competes in the Flyweight division, typically weighing in at 125 lbs.2 He fights from an orthodox stance.2
- Team: He trains with the renowned Chute Boxe Diego Lima in Brazil.1
- MMA Record: His professional record stands at 20 wins and 6 losses (20-6-0).2 Within the UFC, his record is 2 wins and 1 loss (2-1).5
- Key Career Statistics (UFC): Nascimento lands an average of 3.21 significant strikes per minute (SLpM) with an accuracy of 61%. He absorbs 2.28 significant strikes per minute (SApM) and has a significant strike defense of 50%. His takedown average is 1.55 per 15 minutes, with a takedown accuracy of 26% and a takedown defense of 16%. He attempts an average of 0.9 submissions per 15 minutes.2
- Style: Nascimento is primarily a submission specialist, with 14 of his 20 professional wins coming by way of submission.1 He is a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt under Master Barbosa, with a style adapted for MMA.4 He has historically used a patient approach to lure opponents into his grappling game, but has also shown the ability to be more aggressive to create finishing opportunities.5
- B. Opponent History & Performance Context
Nascimento’s career has been marked by bouts against a variety of opponents, testing his submission-centric style. His performances provide valuable information about his adaptability and effectiveness against different fighter archetypes.
Table: Allan Nascimento – Detailed Opponent Breakdown (Selected Fights)
Opponent |
Date |
Event |
Result |
Opponent’s Record (at time) |
Opponent’s Style |
Opponent’s Physicals (H/R/Stance) |
Jafel Filho |
May 31, 2025 |
UFC on ESPN 68 |
Upcoming |
16-3 (UFC: 2-1) 5 |
Aggressive, Submission Specialist (Nova Uniao) 4 |
5’7″, 68″, Orthodox |
Carlos Hernandez |
Jan 14, 2023 |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
Win (Sub, RNC, R1) 2 |
8-2 (UFC: 1-1) |
Wrestler, Orthodox 6 |
5’8″, 67″, Orthodox 6 |
Jake Hadley |
May 14, 2022 |
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic |
Win (U-Dec) 2 |
8-0 (UFC Debut) |
“White Kong”, Southpaw, Grappler 8 |
5’7″, 70″, Southpaw 8 |
Tagir Ulanbekov |
Oct 30, 2021 |
UFC 267 |
Loss (Split Dec) 2 |
13-1 (UFC: 1-0) |
Sambo/Wrestling, Submission 10 |
5’7″, 70″, Orthodox 10 |
Raulian Paiva |
Aug 11, 2018 |
DWCS Brazil 1.3 |
Loss (Split Dec) 2 |
17-1 12 |
BJJ Black Belt, Orthodox 12 |
5’8″, 69.5″, Orthodox 12 |
Yuki Motoya |
Dec 29, 2016 |
Rizin World GP 2016: 2nd Round |
Loss (Split Dec) 14 |
18-4 (10 fight unbeaten streak) 15 |
Bantamweight, Grappler 15 |
5’7″, Bantamweight 16 |
Bruno Azevedo |
Mar 15, 2015 |
XFCI 9 (Flyweight Title Fight) |
Loss (U-Dec) 14 |
~13-1-1 (XFCI FlyW Champ) 17 |
Bantamweight, Submission Specialist 18 |
5’4″, Bantamweight 18 |
Ruslan Abiltarov |
Nov 1, 2014 |
XFCI 7 |
Win (U-Dec) 14 |
15-4-1 (#106 BW at time) 19 |
Flyweight/Bantamweight, Submission Specialist 21 |
5’5″, Flyweight 21 |
Will Campuzano |
Apr 12, 2013 |
LFC 19 (Flyweight Title Fight) |
Loss (U-Dec) 14 |
12-4 (LFC FlyW Champ) 22 |
Experienced, LFC Flyweight Champion 22 |
5’9″, 70″, Orthodox 22 |
* **Jafel Filho (Upcoming):** Filho, Nascimento’s scheduled opponent for UFC on ESPN 68, is also a Brazilian submission specialist from the esteemed Nova União camp, known for his aggressive style.[4, 5] Nascimento anticipates a technical grappling battle, a “chess match,” believing his own jiu-jitsu is well-adjusted for MMA.[4] This matchup was originally slated for August 2024 but was postponed due to Nascimento’s illness.[23] Nascimento missed weight for this rescheduled bout, coming in at 127.5 pounds, 1.5 pounds over the limit, and will forfeit 20% of his purse.[4, 23]
* **Carlos Hernandez (Win):** Nascimento secured a first-round rear-naked choke against Hernandez.[2] Hernandez, an orthodox fighter with a wrestling base [6, 7], was unable to prevent Nascimento from implementing his grappling. This fight marked an impressive, more aggressive turn for Nascimento, leading to a quick finish.[5] This victory demonstrated that a more assertive approach could be highly effective for Nascimento in creating submission opportunities.
* **Jake Hadley (Win):** Nascimento earned a unanimous decision against the previously undefeated southpaw grappler Jake Hadley.[2] Hadley, possessing a slight reach advantage (70″ to 69″) [8], was neutralized over three rounds. This win showcased Nascimento’s ability to outwork and strategically control a fellow grappler over the distance, even when a finish isn’t available.
* **Tagir Ulanbekov (Loss):** This was Nascimento’s UFC debut, a close split decision loss.[2] Ulanbekov, a Sambo and wrestling specialist with similar physical attributes [10, 11], managed to secure more takedowns (4 to 0), which likely swayed the judges despite Nascimento attempting more submissions (2 to 1).[2] This fight highlighted that effective wrestling and control can be a deciding factor against Nascimento, even if he remains a submission threat from his back. His 16% takedown defense [2] is a statistic that opponents with strong wrestling will likely target; if an adversary can dictate the location of grappling exchanges, it may mitigate some of Nascimento’s offensive jiu-jitsu.
* **Raulian Paiva (Loss):** A split decision loss on Dana White’s Contender Series Brazil.[2] Paiva, a BJJ black belt with similar height and reach [12], engaged in a high-volume striking affair with Nascimento (105 significant strikes for Nascimento to 81 for Paiva), with both landing one takedown.[2] This loss to a durable, well-rounded opponent in a competitive fight indicates that opponents who can match his grappling acumen and also engage effectively in striking can give him significant trouble.
* **Yuki Motoya (Loss):** This split decision loss in Rizin was against an experienced Japanese bantamweight known for his grappling, who was on an 11-fight unbeaten streak at the time.[14, 15] Motoya, though slightly shorter at 5’7″ [16], was able to edge out Nascimento. This outcome further underscores that against seasoned grapplers, fights are often closely contested and can go either way on the scorecards.
* **Bruno Azevedo (Loss):** This was a five-round unanimous decision loss for the XFCI Flyweight Championship.[14, 17] Azevedo, a bantamweight and submission specialist standing at 5’4″ [18], demonstrated that a smaller, highly skilled grappler could neutralize Nascimento’s offense over an extended championship distance if they can avoid being submitted.
* **Will Campuzano (Loss):** Nascimento, then 7-0 [24], challenged for the LFC Flyweight Championship against the more experienced Campuzano (12-4 at the time).[22] Campuzano, who had a height and reach advantage (5’9″, 70″ reach) [22], won a unanimous decision over five rounds.[14] This loss early in his career against a champion-level opponent capable of managing distance and fighting a strategic striking battle suggests that fighters who can prevent the fight from consistently hitting the mat and control the range can pose significant challenges.
- C. Analysis of Performance Patterns
Nascimento’s career reveals several distinct patterns. His grappling pedigree is undeniable, but its application against elite competition has yielded mixed results. When facing fellow submission specialists, his fights often become intricate, tactical battles, as he himself described the anticipated Jafel Filho bout as a “chess match”.4 Wins against fighters like Elivaldo Lima Martins and Ruslan Abiltarov show his ability to outmaneuver other grapplers. However, losses to Motoya and Azevedo, and the upcoming challenge against Filho, suggest that success in these matchups hinges on subtle advantages in positioning, control, or the ability to impose a specific grappling approach. His relatively low takedown defense statistic of 16% 2 is a notable vulnerability; if an opponent can consistently dictate where grappling exchanges occur by securing takedowns, they may neutralize his offensive Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, even if he remains dangerous from his back.
A significant factor in Nascimento’s recent career is the 868-day layoff he experienced prior to his scheduled return in May 2025.4 His adoption of yoga to aid his physical and mental recovery indicates a renewed dedication.4 The extended period away from competition could manifest as initial ring rust, particularly concerning timing and fight pace, especially against an aggressive adversary like Jafel Filho. Conversely, this time may have allowed for substantial skill refinement and strategic evolution, as Nascimento himself has alluded to his jiu-jitsu being “better adjusted”.4
The manner of his victories also offers clues. His quick submission of Carlos Hernandez, achieved through a notably more aggressive offensive output compared to some of his earlier, more patient decision wins 5, suggests that a proactive, pressure-based style may be more effective in creating the openings necessary for his submission game. This contrasts with fights where a more measured approach led to longer, judge-dependent contests.
Analyzing his performance against varied physical attributes, Nascimento has faced both shorter opponents (Martins 5’3″, Azevedo 5’4″, Abiltarov 5’5″) and those with comparable or superior reach (Hadley 70″, Ulanbekov 70″, Paiva 69.5″, Campuzano 70″). Against smaller opponents, skill often negated size differences in grappling. However, against opponents who could match or exceed his reach, fights frequently extended to decisions. This implies that adversaries capable of utilizing their length to maintain distance may compel Nascimento into prolonged striking exchanges or render his takedown attempts more predictable, thereby extending the duration of the bout.
A recent concern is his weight miss for the Jafel Filho fight.4 This could indicate underlying issues with his fight camp discipline or the difficulty of the weight cut itself, potentially impacting his stamina and strength during the bout. Such issues can also offer a psychological advantage to the opponent and carry financial penalties. - D. Upcoming Bout Outlook (vs. Jafel Filho at UFC on ESPN 68)
Nascimento is set to face Jafel Filho on May 31, 2025, at UFC on ESPN 68.4 Filho (16-3, 2-1 UFC) is an aggressive submission specialist from Nova União, also comfortable striking, and is coming off two impressive first-round submission victories in the UFC.4 Nascimento anticipates a high-level grappling contest.4 Sherdog analysts predict Nascimento could frustrate Filho on the feet before finding a submission, though Filho’s aggression remains a significant threat, forecasting a Nascimento win via second-round submission.5
A critical element for Nascimento will be his capacity to manage Filho’s initial onslaught and avoid compromising positions early. If Nascimento can successfully navigate the early aggression and draw Filho into extended grappling sequences where his refined jiu-jitsu can be brought to bear, his path to victory is clear. The recent weight miss, however, introduces an element of unpredictability regarding Nascimento’s conditioning for a potentially grueling fight.
II.2. Mateusz Gamrot: Profile and Performance Pattern Analysis
- A. Fighter Snapshot
- Biographical Data: Mateusz “Gamer” Gamrot is a Polish mixed martial artist, born on December 11, 1990, making him 34 years old as of late 2024/early 2025.25
- Physical Attributes: Gamrot stands 5 feet 10 inches tall, weighs 155 lbs (competing in the Lightweight division), and has a 70-inch reach. He fights from a southpaw stance.26
- Team: He is a prominent member of American Top Team.27 He previously trained at Czerwony Smok Poznan.
- MMA Record: His professional record is 24 wins, 3 losses, and 1 No Contest (24-3-0, 1 NC).26 His UFC record stands at 7 wins and 3 losses (7-3).28
- Key Career Statistics (UFC): Gamrot lands 3.23 significant strikes per minute (SLpM) with 50% accuracy. He absorbs 3.22 significant strikes per minute (SApM) with a 58% defense rate. His standout statistic is his takedown average of 5.25 per 15 minutes, achieved with 35% accuracy. His takedown defense is a formidable 90%.26 He has accrued 43 completed takedowns in his UFC lightweight career, ranking him sixth on the promotion’s all-time list for the 155-pound division.25
- Titles: Gamrot is a former two-division Konfrontacja Sztuk Walki (KSW) champion, holding both the KSW Lightweight and KSW Featherweight titles.25
- Style: Gamrot is renowned for his relentless wrestling-heavy style, characterized by a high pace and exceptional grappling prowess. While his striking is an evolving aspect of his game, his foundation lies in his ability to take opponents down and control them on the mat.30
- B. Opponent History & Performance Context
Gamrot’s UFC tenure has seen him consistently face high-level competition, testing his decorated European credentials against the elite of the lightweight division.
Table: Mateusz Gamrot – Detailed Opponent Breakdown (UFC Fights)
Opponent |
Date |
Event |
Result |
Opponent’s Record (at time) / UFC Rank |
Opponent’s Style |
Opponent’s Physicals (H/R/Stance) |
Ludovit Klein |
May 31, 2025 |
UFC on ESPN 68 |
Upcoming |
23-4-1 (UFC: 7-2-1), Unranked 27 |
Powerful Striker, Good Gas Tank at LW 31 |
5’9″, 72″, Southpaw |
Dan Hooker |
Aug 17, 2024 |
UFC 305 |
Loss (Split Dec) 26 |
23-12 (UFC: 13-8) / #7 LW 28 |
Veteran Striker, Tough, Good TDD 30 |
6’0″, 75″, Switch 34 |
Rafael dos Anjos |
Mar 9, 2024 |
UFC 299 |
Win (U-Dec) 26 |
32-15 / #19 WW (at time) 28 |
Former LW Champ, BJJ Black Belt, Southpaw 37 |
5’8″, 70″, Southpaw 37 |
Rafael Fiziev |
Sep 23, 2023 |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
Win (TKO – Injury, R2) 26 |
12-2 / #7 LW 28 |
Elite Muay Thai Striker, Switch 40 |
5’8″, 71″, Switch 40 |
Jalin Turner |
Mar 4, 2023 |
UFC 285 |
Win (Split Dec) 26 |
13-5 / #33 LW (at time) 28 |
Tall, Long, Powerful Finisher, Southpaw 43 |
6’3″, 77″, Southpaw 43 |
Beneil Dariush |
Oct 22, 2022 |
UFC 280 |
Loss (U-Dec) 26 |
21-4-1 / #6 LW 45 |
Elite Grappler, Strong Striking, Southpaw 46 |
5’10”, 72″, Southpaw 46 |
Arman Tsarukyan |
Jun 25, 2022 |
UFC on ESPN: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
Win (U-Dec) 26 |
18-2 / #12 LW (at time) 28 |
Strong Wrestler, Dynamic Striker, Orthodox 49 |
5’7″, 72″, Orthodox 49 |
Diego Ferreira |
Dec 18, 2021 |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus |
Win (TKO – Knee to Body, R2) 28 |
17-4 / #10 LW (at time) 28 |
BJJ Black Belt, Orthodox 52 |
5’9″, 74″, Orthodox 52 |
Jeremy Stephens |
Jul 17, 2021 |
UFC on ESPN: Makhachev vs. Moisés |
Win (Sub – Kimura, R1) 28 |
28-18 (1NC) / #37 FW (at time) 28 |
Veteran Power Striker, Orthodox 55 |
5’9″, 71″, Orthodox 55 |
Scott Holtzman |
Apr 10, 2021 |
UFC on ABC: Vettori vs. Holland |
Win (KO – Punches, R2) 28 |
14-4 / #25 LW (at time) 28 |
Durable Striker, Wrestler, Orthodox 57 |
5’9″, 69″, Orthodox 57 |
Guram Kutateladze |
Oct 17, 2020 |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Korean Zombie |
Loss (Split Dec) 26 |
11-2 / #122 LW (at time) 28 |
Technical Striker, Orthodox 60 |
5’11”, 72″, Orthodox 60 |
* **Ludovit Klein (Upcoming):** Klein, an unranked Slovakian lightweight, represents a step down in ranked competition for Gamrot, who has actively sought higher-ranked opponents.[27, 30] Klein is recognized for his power, which he has maintained since moving up from featherweight, and an improved gas tank allowing him to sustain offense over three rounds.[31] However, Klein typically fights from range and often adapts to his opponent’s pressure.[31] Gamrot is heavily favored, with expectations that his wrestling and relentless pace, particularly in the smaller UFC Apex octagon where he holds an undefeated 5-0 record, will be decisive.[30] The challenge for Gamrot in this bout is not just to win, but to deliver a statement performance, given his difficulty in securing fights against top-10 opposition.[27]
* **Dan Hooker (Loss):** This was a “Fight of the Night” split decision loss against the #7 ranked lightweight Dan Hooker.[25, 30, 33] Hooker, a tall and rangy striker (6’0″, 75″ reach) with a reputation for durability and strong takedown defense, presented a stylistic challenge.[34, 35] Despite Gamrot landing five takedowns to Hooker’s zero, Hooker’s striking volume and impact were significant enough to earn the judges’ nod on two scorecards.[26, 33] This outcome suggests that elite, durable strikers who can effectively manage distance and consistently defend or recover from takedown attempts can pose serious problems for Gamrot, especially if they can win the striking exchanges. Gamrot’s recent tendency to open up his striking more [31] might have played into Hooker’s strengths in this particular matchup.
* **Rafael dos Anjos (Win):** Gamrot secured a unanimous decision victory over the former UFC Lightweight Champion.[26, 28] While dos Anjos was competing as a welterweight around this period (#19 WW at the time of the fight [28]), this bout was at lightweight. Gamrot’s dominant wrestling was on full display, as he landed 11 takedowns.[26] This performance against a highly respected veteran, known for his BJJ black belt and southpaw stance [37, 38], reaffirmed Gamrot’s capability to control seasoned grapplers.
* **Beneil Dariush (Loss):** This unanimous decision loss was against another elite lightweight grappler who also possesses potent striking and excellent takedown defense (Dariush boasts an 80% TDD [46]).[26, 28] Dariush was largely successful in neutralizing Gamrot’s primary weapon, being the first to mostly shut down his takedown-heavy approach in the UFC.[31] Although Gamrot landed four takedowns, Dariush out-struck him.[26] This fight demonstrated that opponents who can match or nullify his wrestling and simultaneously outpace him in striking exchanges represent a significant hurdle for Gamrot.
* **Arman Tsarukyan (Win):** A controversial unanimous decision win where Tsarukyan was widely considered the superior striker, but Gamrot’s relentless wrestling and control (6 takedowns to 1 [26]) ultimately swayed the judges.[28, 31] This fight is a prime example of Gamrot’s typical path to victory: overwhelming opponents with grappling pressure, even if he is being out-struck. However, the contentious nature of the decision suggests this strategy isn’t always perceived as dominant.
* **Guram Kutateladze (Loss):** In his UFC debut, Gamrot suffered a split decision loss despite landing five takedowns.[26, 31] Kutateladze, a technical striker with a height and reach advantage [60, 61], was able to edge out Gamrot. The primary critique was that Gamrot’s takedowns did not lead to significant damage or dominant control [31], an early indicator that simply securing takedowns might not be sufficient without effective offense or clear control thereafter.
- C. Analysis of Performance Patterns
Gamrot’s career is defined by his exceptional wrestling base. His 43 takedowns landed in the UFC’s lightweight division place him among the promotion’s all-time leaders in that category 25, and his 90% takedown defense makes him exceedingly difficult for opponents to control on the mat.26 This wrestling-centric approach is his primary engine for success.
While his takedown average is high at 5.25 per 15 minutes, his accuracy of 35% 26 suggests a strategy reliant on chain wrestling and persistent attempts rather than single, high-percentage shots. This high-output style, while effective, demands significant energy. If these takedowns do not translate into dominant positions or damaging offense, the energy expenditure could become a factor against opponents with exceptional cardio and scrambling abilities, particularly in longer fights.
Although Gamrot has been working to “open things up as a striker” 31, his grappling remains his most reliable tool. This was evident in the Tsarukyan fight, where his wrestling secured the win despite being arguably out-struck.31 However, against opponents like Dariush and Hooker, who possess strong takedown defense and effective striking, his developing stand-up game has been tested. For Gamrot to consistently defeat the division’s top echelon, his striking must either become a more potent weapon or his grappling must lead to more definitive control and damage to avoid close, debatable decisions.
A notable pattern is Gamrot’s success in the UFC Apex, where he holds an official 5-0 record.30 The smaller dimensions of the Apex octagon likely complement his pressure-wrestling style, reducing the space for opponents to maneuver and evade his takedown attempts. This environmental factor appears to significantly enhance his effectiveness.
Despite his high ranking (#8 LW by FightMatrix 28, #10 by USA TODAY/MMA Junkie 30), Gamrot has voiced frustration regarding the difficulty in securing fights against other top-ranked lightweights.27 This situation places him in a precarious position where he needs significant victories to ascend into the top 5, yet obtaining these marquee matchups proves challenging. Opting for fights against unranked opponents, like the upcoming bout with Klein, carries inherent risks with limited potential for upward movement in the rankings, even with a dominant win. - D. Upcoming Bout Outlook (vs. Ludovit Klein at UFC on ESPN 68)
Gamrot enters the fight against Ludovit Klein as a considerable favorite, with odds around -166 to -168.30 Klein, an unranked but powerful striker who has shown improved endurance at lightweight 31, will likely look to leverage his striking from range. The consensus prediction favors Gamrot to win by decision or submission, utilizing his superior wrestling and relentless pace, amplified by the smaller Apex cage.30 Klein’s most probable path to victory would be an early knockout or landing a significant, fight-altering strike.30 For Gamrot, this fight is not merely about securing a win; an impressive, definitive finish is crucial to “remind the masses” of his capabilities 30 and to build momentum for future engagements with higher-ranked adversaries, a sentiment he himself has acknowledged regarding the importance of exciting performances.27
II.3. Rayanne dos Santos: Profile and Performance Pattern Analysis
- A. Fighter Snapshot
- Biographical Data: Rayanne Amanda dos Santos is a Brazilian mixed martial artist born on June 8, 1995, in Belém, Brazil, making her 29 years old as of mid-2025.62
- Physical Attributes: She stands 5 feet 3 inches (160 cm) tall, with a reach of 62 inches (157 cm). She competes in the Strawweight division (115 lbs).62 Some sources list her height as 5’2″.63
- Team: Dos Santos trains with the Marajó Brothers Team 62 and has also spent time training in Houston with her fiancé, fellow MMA fighter Kolton Englund.62
- MMA Record: Her professional record is 14 wins and 8 losses (14-8-0).62 Her UFC record is 0 wins and 2 losses (0-2).63
- Key Career Statistics: In her UFC career, she has accumulated 30 minutes of Octagon time over two fights.63 Her overall win-finish percentage is high at 71.4%, with 8 of her 14 victories coming via submission and 2 by KO/TKO.62
- Titles: Dos Santos is a former Invicta FC Atomweight Champion 62 and a former BTC Women’s Strawweight Champion.62
- Style: Her fighting style is heavily rooted in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, a discipline in which she has trained since the age of seven, coming from a family of BJJ black belts.62
- B. Opponent History & Performance Context
Dos Santos transitioned to the UFC after a successful championship run in Invicta FC at atomweight. Her performances in the UFC strawweight division have been closely contested.
Table: Rayanne dos Santos – Detailed Opponent Breakdown (UFC & Key Pre-UFC Fights)
Opponent |
Date |
Event |
Result |
Opponent’s Record (at time) / UFC Rank |
Opponent’s Style |
Opponent’s Physicals (H/R/Stance) |
Alice Ardelean |
May 31, 2025 |
UFC on ESPN 68 |
Upcoming |
8-7 (UFC: 0-2 approx.) / #146 W115 63 |
Striker [General MMA knowledge] |
5’4″, Orthodox |
Puja Tomar |
Jun 8, 2024 |
UFC on ESPN 57 |
Loss (Split Dec) 62 |
8-4 / #78 W115 63 |
Wushu Striker, Orthodox 66 |
5’4″, 59″, Orthodox 65 |
Talita Alencar |
Dec 9, 2023 |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutiérrez |
Loss (Split Dec) 62 |
4-0-1 / #90 W115 63 |
BJJ Black Belt, Grappler 69 |
5’1″, 58.5″, Southpaw 68 |
Jillian DeCoursey |
May 3, 2023 |
Invicta FC 53 (Atomweight Title) |
Win (U-Dec) 62 |
6-3 / #3 AtomW 63 |
BJJ/Kickboxing, Orthodox 71 |
5’2″, 63″, Orthodox 71 |
Katie Saull |
Jan 18, 2023 |
Invicta FC 51 |
Win (U-Dec) 62 |
5-5 72 |
Atomweight, SBG Ireland 73 |
5’4″, Atomweight 73 |
Denise Gomes |
Aug 27, 2022 |
Dana White’s Contender Series 51 |
Loss (U-Dec) 62 |
5-1 / #51 WFLW (at time) 63 |
Aggressive Striker, Orthodox 74 |
5’2″, 63″, Orthodox 74 |
* **Alice Ardelean (Upcoming):** This bout, rescheduled due to a broken arm sustained by dos Santos, is critical for both fighters, each potentially facing UFC release with a loss.[62, 64] Ardelean, ranked #146 in the women’s strawweight division by FightMatrix, has reportedly lost her first two UFC fights.[63, 64]
* **Puja Tomar (Loss):** Dos Santos lost a contentious split decision where all 11 media members whose scores were tracked by MMADecisions.com scored the bout in her favor.[62, 63, 65] Tomar, a Wushu-based striker [66, 67], was ranked #78 at strawweight at the time.[63] This result strongly suggests that while dos Santos may have been technically superior or landed more effectively in the eyes of media observers, her performance lacked the definitive impact required to sway two of the three official judges.
* **Talita Alencar (Loss):** Her UFC debut was another split decision loss, this time to fellow Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu specialist Talita Alencar.[62, 63, 68] Alencar, though shorter and with less reach [69], was able to secure the victory. This outcome against a fighter with a similar grappling base indicates that dos Santos might face difficulties in consistently imposing her BJJ game against opponents who can match her on the mat or effectively neutralize her strengths within the UFC’s strawweight division.
* **Jillian DeCoursey (Win):** Prior to joining the UFC, dos Santos captured the Invicta FC Atomweight Championship with a unanimous decision over DeCoursey.[62] DeCoursey, a well-rounded fighter with a BJJ and kickboxing background [71], was the #3 ranked atomweight at the time.[63] This victory demonstrated dos Santos’s capability at the championship level in the atomweight class.
* **Denise Gomes (Loss):** In her appearance on Dana White’s Contender Series, dos Santos lost a unanimous decision to Denise Gomes, who was then ranked as a flyweight.[62, 63] Gomes is primarily an aggressive striker.[74, 75] This loss to a striker who successfully defended against dos Santos’s grappling and later found success in the UFC strawweight division suggests that powerful, aggressive strikers with solid takedown defense could present a challenging stylistic matchup.
- C. Analysis of Performance Patterns
A prominent pattern in Rayanne dos Santos’s recent career is her difficulty in securing victories within the UFC’s strawweight division, evidenced by her 0-2 record, with both losses coming via split decision.62 This contrasts with her prior success as an Invicta FC Atomweight Champion.62 This disparity could be attributed to several factors, including the general step-up in competition level within the UFC, potential challenges in adapting to the size and strength of natural strawweights after competing at atomweight, or difficulties in having her BJJ-centric style decisively impact UFC judges.
The fact that the media overwhelmingly scored the Puja Tomar fight in her favor 62 is particularly telling. It suggests that while her technical skills may be apparent to seasoned observers, her performances might be lacking the clear, dominant moments—such as significant damage, definitive control, or high-impact aggression—that are often rewarded under the unified scoring criteria. This could mean that while she is winning exchanges or controlling positions, it’s not translating into round-winning criteria for all judges.
Her primary strength lies in her Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, with 8 of her 14 professional wins coming by submission.62 However, she has yet to secure a submission in her two UFC appearances. This may indicate that UFC-level opponents possess a higher degree of submission defense and anti-grappling acumen compared to some of the competition she faced on the regional circuit or in Invicta FC, making it more challenging to implement her A-game effectively.
The transition from atomweight, where she held a championship, to the strawweight division is also a significant factor. Facing opponents who are naturally larger and potentially stronger could impact her ability to control grappling exchanges and impose her will physically, which is often crucial for a BJJ-focused fighter. - D. Upcoming Bout Outlook (vs. Alice Ardelean at UFC on ESPN 68)
The upcoming fight against Alice Ardelean is a critical juncture for dos Santos’s UFC career.64 With both fighters reportedly on 0-2 UFC streaks 63, the loser is highly likely to be released from the promotion. Dos Santos will need not only a victory but a decisive one to secure her position on the roster and avoid another contentious judges’ decision. Her recovery from a broken arm also adds an element of uncertainty to her preparation and performance.62
II.4. Billy Ray Goff: Profile and Performance Pattern Analysis
- A. Fighter Snapshot
- Biographical Data: Billy Goff (often referred to as Billy Ray Goff in some sources) is an American fighter, born June 18, 1998, making him 26 years old as of mid-2025.76 He has connections to Groton, Connecticut, and Gulfport, United States.78
- Physical Attributes: Goff stands 5 feet 10 inches tall, weighs 170 lbs, competing in the Welterweight division. He has a 72-inch reach and utilizes a switch stance.78
- Team: He trains with Dexter MMA.76
- MMA Record: His professional MMA record is 9 wins and 3 losses (9-3-0).76 His UFC record is 1 win and 1 loss (1-1).76
- Key Career Statistics (UFC): Goff exhibits an exceptionally high significant strike output, landing 8.56 per minute (SLpM) with 46% accuracy. Conversely, he absorbs 5.71 significant strikes per minute (SApM), with a 59% defense rate. His takedown average is 2.01 per 15 minutes with a 17% accuracy, but he has shown a 100% takedown defense in his limited UFC sample size.80
- Style: Goff is characterized by an aggressive, high-volume striking style. He is known for relentless forward pressure, a chaotic fighting manner, and considerable knockout power, with 7 of his 9 wins coming by KO.77 While offensively potent, his style can leave defensive openings.77
- B. Opponent History & Performance Context
Goff’s “all-action” style has produced exciting fights and has been tested against varied opponents since earning a UFC contract via Dana White’s Contender Series (DWCS).
Table: Billy Goff – Detailed Opponent Breakdown (UFC & DWCS Fights)
Opponent |
Date |
Event |
Result |
Opponent’s Record (at time) / UFC Rank |
Opponent’s Style |
Opponent’s Physicals (H/R/Stance) |
Ramiz Brahimaj |
May 31, 2025 |
UFC on ESPN 68 |
Upcoming |
11-5 (UFC: 3-3) 77 |
Submission Specialist, Orthodox 77 |
5’10”, 72″, Orthodox 77 |
Trey Waters |
May 11, 2024 |
UFC on ESPN 56 |
Loss (U-Dec) 76 |
8-1 / #131 WW 76 |
Tall, Long Striker, Orthodox 84 |
6’5″, 77″, Orthodox 84 |
Yusaku Kinoshita |
Aug 26, 2023 |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Korean Zombie |
Win (TKO – Punches, R1) 76 |
6-2 / #414 WW 76 |
Striker, Southpaw 87 |
6’0″, 71″, Southpaw 87 |
Shimon Smotritsky |
Aug 2, 2022 |
Dana White’s Contender Series 6.2 |
Win (TKO – Punches, R1) 76 |
8-1 / #289 WW 76 |
Well-rounded, Orthodox 90 |
6’2″, 74″, Orthodox 90 |
Justin Sumter |
Apr 1, 2022 |
CES MMA 67 |
Win (TKO – Elbows, R2) 76 |
8-5 |
Grappler, Submission Threat 92 |
6’2″, Middleweight 92 |
Gary Balletto Jr. |
Mar 4, 2022 |
CES MMA 66 |
Win (KO, R1) 76 |
6-2 93 |
Striker |
5’11”, Welterweight 93 |
Robson Gracie Jr. |
Dec 10, 2020 |
Bellator 254 |
Win (TKO – Punches & Elbows, R2) 76 |
3-0 94 |
Jiu-Jitsu Specialist 94 |
6’3″, Welterweight 94 |
* **Ramiz Brahimaj (Upcoming):** Goff’s next opponent is a dedicated submission specialist, with 10 of his 11 victories coming via tap-out.[77, 82] Brahimaj shares similar height and reach with Goff and fights orthodox.[77, 80] This presents a quintessential striker versus grappler dynamic. Goff is a substantial betting favorite, with odds ranging from -350 to -400.[77, 81]
* **Trey Waters (Loss):** This unanimous decision loss was a “Fight of the Night”.[77] Waters, significantly taller (6’5″) and longer (77″ reach) [84, 85], was able to utilize his physical advantages to outland Goff despite Goff’s characteristic pressure.[83] This bout highlighted a potential area of concern for Goff when facing opponents who can effectively manage distance and leverage superior reach.
* **Yusaku Kinoshita (Win):** Goff’s official UFC debut resulted in a first-round TKO victory over fellow striker Yusaku Kinoshita.[76] Kinoshita, a southpaw with a slight height advantage but shorter reach [87, 88], was overwhelmed by Goff’s power, showcasing Goff’s finishing capabilities at the UFC level.
* **Shimon Smotritsky (Win – DWCS):** Goff earned his UFC contract with a first-round TKO against Smotritsky on Dana White’s Contender Series.[76] Despite Smotritsky possessing advantages in height (6’2″) and reach (74″) [90, 91], Goff successfully closed the distance to land damaging strikes and secure the finish.
* **Robson Gracie Jr. (Win – Bellator):** Prior to his UFC run, Goff defeated the undefeated BJJ specialist Robson Gracie Jr. via second-round TKO.[76] Gracie, a taller fighter at 6’3″ [94], was unable to implement his grappling game against Goff’s striking pressure. This victory against a pure grappler from a famed lineage indicated Goff’s ability to dictate the terms of the fight against submission threats if he can maintain striking range.
- C. Analysis of Performance Patterns
Billy Goff’s fighting approach is characterized by high-risk, high-reward striking. His relentless forward movement and high offensive output (averaging 8.56 significant strikes landed per minute 77) have resulted in a significant number of knockout victories (7 of his 9 professional wins 77). This aggressive style makes for fan-friendly fights, as evidenced by his “Fight of the Night” against Trey Waters.77 However, this offensive focus can lead to defensive vulnerabilities; he absorbs a notable 5.71 significant strikes per minute 80, and his “lack of defense” has been pointed out.77 This willingness to engage in brawls could be exploited by more technical counter-strikers or durable opponents capable of weathering his initial storm and capitalizing on openings.
His performance against opponents with distinct physical attributes offers further understanding. The loss to Trey Waters, who possessed a substantial height (6’5″ vs. 5’10”) and reach (77″ vs. 72″) advantage 83, is a key data point. While Goff successfully overcame a height and reach disadvantage against Shimon Smotritsky on DWCS 91, the higher caliber of competition in the UFC presents more formidable challenges in managing range against larger adversaries who can effectively use their length.
Goff’s takedown defense, statistically 100% in his limited UFC appearances 80, is promising. However, this has been against opponents who are not primarily elite grapplers. His upcoming bout against Ramiz Brahimaj, a dedicated submission specialist, will serve as a more rigorous test of his ability to keep the fight in his preferred striking domain. His own offensive grappling is not a primary feature of his style, with zero submission wins listed.78 - D. Upcoming Bout Outlook (vs. Ramiz Brahimaj at UFC on ESPN 68)
The matchup against Ramiz Brahimaj is a classic striker versus grappler encounter. Goff’s clear path to victory involves maintaining distance, utilizing his aggressive striking and volume to overwhelm Brahimaj, and pursuing a knockout finish.77 Conversely, Brahimaj will aim to close the distance, secure takedowns, and capitalize on his potent submission skills.77 Analysts favor Goff to secure an early finish by overwhelming Brahimaj with pressure.77 However, Brahimaj’s submission prowess remains a constant threat if he can successfully bring the fight to the mat. Goff’s ability to defend takedowns and keep the fight standing will be paramount.
II.5. Erin Blanchfield: Profile and Performance Pattern Analysis
- A. Fighter Snapshot
- Biographical Data: Erin “Cold Blooded” Blanchfield is an American mixed martial artist, born on May 4, 1999, in New York City, New York, making her 26 years old as of mid-2025. She fights out of Elmwood Park, New Jersey.95
- Physical Attributes: Blanchfield is 5 feet 4 inches (163 cm) tall, with a 68-inch (173 cm) reach. She competes in the Women’s Flyweight division (125 lbs).95
- Team: She is associated with several high-level gyms, including Renzo Gracie Academy, Danaher Death Squad, and Silver Fox BJJ.95
- MMA Record: Her professional record is 13 wins and 2 losses (13-2-0).95 In the UFC, she has compiled a record of 7 wins and 1 loss (7-1).96
- Key Career Statistics: Blanchfield has a win-finish percentage of 46.2%, with 2 KOs and 4 submissions among her 13 victories.95 She has the tied second-most submission wins in UFC Women’s Flyweight division history with 3.95 Her UFC octagon time is 1 hour, 52 minutes, and 52 seconds, and her longest UFC win streak is 6 fights (2021-2023).96
- Titles & Accolades: Blanchfield is a former Eddie Bravo Invitational champion.95 She has earned Performance of the Night bonuses in Invicta FC (twice) 95 and was ranked #5 Newcomer of the Year in 2021 and had the #6 Submission of the Year in 2023 (vs. Jéssica Andrade) by UFC.com Awards.95 As of May 13, 2025, she is ranked #4 in the UFC women’s flyweight rankings and #6 in the UFC women’s pound-for-pound rankings as of November 5, 2024.95
- Style: Blanchfield is an elite grappler, holding a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu under Karel Pravec. Her fighting style is centered around her high-level BJJ, takedowns, and submission hunting.95
- B. Opponent History & Performance Context
Blanchfield has rapidly ascended the flyweight ranks, facing a series of top contenders and former champions.
Table: Erin Blanchfield – Detailed Opponent Breakdown (UFC Fights)
Opponent |
Date |
Event |
Result |
Opponent’s UFC Rank (at time) / Style |
Opponent’s Physicals (H/R/Stance) |
Maycee Barber |
May 31, 2025 |
UFC on ESPN 68 |
Upcoming |
#8 WFLW 96 / #5 WFLW 97, Power Striker |
5’5″, 65″, Switch |
Rose Namajunas |
Nov 2, 2024 |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi |
Win (U-Dec) 95 |
#6 WFLW 96, Former 2x WSW Champ, Technical Striker |
5’5″, 65″, Orthodox |
Manon Fiorot |
Mar 30, 2024 |
UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
Loss (U-Dec) 95 |
#2 WFLW 96, Elite Striker, Good TDD |
5’7″, 65″, Orthodox |
Taila Santos |
Aug 26, 2023 |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Korean Zombie |
Win (U-Dec) 95 |
#7 WFLW 96, Strong Grappler |
5’6″, 68″, Orthodox |
Jéssica Andrade |
Feb 18, 2023 |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
Win (Sub – RNC, R2) 95 |
#2 WSW 96, Former WSW Champ, Powerhouse |
5’1.5″, 62″, Orthodox |
Molly McCann |
Nov 12, 2022 |
UFC 281 |
Win (Sub – Kimura, R1) 95 |
#26 WFLW 96, Aggressive Striker |
5’4″, 62″, Orthodox |
JJ Aldrich |
Jun 4, 2022 |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
Win (Sub – Guillotine, R2) 95 |
#18 WFLW 96, Southpaw Striker |
5’5″, 67.5″, Southpaw |
Miranda Maverick |
Dec 11, 2021 |
UFC 269 |
Win (U-Dec) 95 |
#19 WFLW 96, Well-rounded Southpaw |
5’3″, 65″, Southpaw |
Sarah Alpar |
Sep 18, 2021 |
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann |
Win (U-Dec) 95 |
#36 WBW 96, Grappler |
5’4″, 65″, Orthodox |
* **Maycee Barber (Upcoming):** Blanchfield is scheduled to headline UFC on ESPN 68 against Maycee Barber.[23, 97] Barber, ranked #5 or #8 in the women’s flyweight division depending on the source [96, 97], is on a five-fight winning streak.[96] Barber missed weight for this bout, coming in at 126.5 pounds, half a pound over the non-title flyweight limit, and will forfeit 20% of her purse.[4, 23, 98] This fight represents a significant clash of styles, pitting Blanchfield’s elite grappling against Barber’s known striking power and aggression. Barber’s weight miss could potentially impact her cardio and durability, which might play into Blanchfield’s grinding grappling approach, especially in a five-round fight.
* **Rose Namajunas (Win):** Blanchfield secured a unanimous decision victory over Rose Namajunas, a former two-time UFC Strawweight Champion.[95, 96] This win against a highly respected and skilled opponent, even with Namajunas fighting up from her usual weight class, demonstrated Blanchfield’s ability to control and outwork elite fighters over the championship distance.
* **Manon Fiorot (Loss):** Blanchfield’s sole UFC defeat came via unanimous decision against Manon Fiorot.[95, 96] Fiorot, a top-ranked flyweight known for her potent striking and strong takedown defense, successfully nullified Blanchfield’s grappling attempts and outpointed her on the feet. This loss provided a clear blueprint for opponents: to defeat Blanchfield, one must possess elite takedown defense and superior striking.
* **Taila Santos (Win):** Her unanimous decision win over Taila Santos, another strong grappler in the division [95, 96], showcased Blanchfield’s ability to out-grapple other competent BJJ practitioners and impose her will on the mat.
* **Jéssica Andrade (Win):** Submitting Jéssica Andrade, a former UFC Strawweight Champion renowned for her immense power and aggressive style, via rear-naked choke in the second round was a major statement.[95] This victory underscored the lethality of Blanchfield’s BJJ against even the strongest and most experienced fighters at the highest level. It also earned her a “Submission of the Year” accolade from UFC.com.[95]
- C. Analysis of Performance Patterns
Erin Blanchfield’s primary weapon is her elite Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. Her grappling dominance is evident in her multiple submission victories within the UFC, tying her for the second-most in the history of the UFC Women’s Flyweight division.95 She consistently seeks to bring the fight to the mat, where she actively hunts for submissions. Her ability to finish high-level opponents like Andrade and Molly McCann via submission, rather than merely controlling them, elevates her threat beyond that of a typical “grind-it-out” grappler.
However, her sole UFC loss to Manon Fiorot exposed a key vulnerability.95 If an opponent possesses elite takedown defense and can maintain striking range, Blanchfield can be outpointed. While her striking is continually improving, it may not yet be on par with the division’s most accomplished strikers if she is unable to implement her grappling. Therefore, opponents who can consistently stuff her takedown attempts and win the stand-up exchanges have the clearest path to victory against her.
At only 26 years old 95, Blanchfield is still in the developmental phase of her career and possesses a very high ceiling. The loss to Fiorot, while a setback, can serve as a significant learning experience, prompting further evolution in her striking and her methods for initiating grappling sequences against opponents adept at keeping the fight standing. - D. Upcoming Bout Outlook (vs. Maycee Barber at UFC on ESPN 68)
The upcoming main event against Maycee Barber is a pivotal contest for the flyweight division.23 Barber is known for her aggressive striking and power. Blanchfield will undoubtedly look to take the fight to the ground, where her grappling advantage is most pronounced. Key factors will include Barber’s takedown defense, her ability to handle Blanchfield’s relentless pressure, and Blanchfield’s strategy for closing the distance safely. Barber’s failure to make weight 4 could also play a role, potentially affecting her stamina and resilience over five rounds, which could favor Blanchfield’s grinding, submission-oriented style.
II.6. Jordan Leavitt: Profile and Performance Pattern Analysis
- A. Fighter Snapshot
- Biographical Data: Jordan “The Monkey King” Leavitt is an American mixed martial artist from Las Vegas, Nevada, born on June 2, 1995, making him 29 years old as of mid-2025.99
- Physical Attributes: Sources vary slightly on height, listing either 5’9″ (175 cm) 101 or 5’11” (180.34 cm).99 He competes at 155 lbs in the Lightweight division, with a 71-inch (180 cm) reach and fights from a southpaw stance.99
- Team: Leavitt trains at Syndicate MMA.99
- MMA Record: His professional record is 11 wins and 3 losses (11-3-0).99
- Key Career Statistics: Of his 11 wins, 2 are by KO/TKO, 6 by submission, and 3 by decision.99 He holds a purple belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu.101
- Style: Leavitt is primarily recognized as a grappler, known for his unorthodox submission attempts (including an inverted triangle choke and anaconda choke in his record) and unique post-fight celebrations.99
- B. Opponent History & Performance Context
Leavitt’s career has been characterized by exciting grappling exchanges and some notable finishes, alongside losses to other skilled grapplers.
Table: Jordan Leavitt – Detailed Opponent Breakdown (UFC Fights)
Opponent |
Date |
Event |
Result |
Opponent’s UFC Rank (at time) / Style |
Opponent’s Physicals (H/R/Stance) |
Kurt Holobaugh |
May 31, 2025 |
UFC on ESPN 68 |
Upcoming |
Veteran, coming off loss 64 |
5’11”, 70″, Orthodox |
Chase Hooper |
Nov 18, 2023 |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
Loss (Sub – RNC, R1) 99 |
Grappler, unorthodox |
6’1″, 74″, Orthodox |
Victor Martinez |
Feb 25, 2023 |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
Win (TKO – Elbows/Knees, R1) 99 |
UFC Debutant |
5’8″, 70″, Orthodox |
Paddy Pimblett |
Jul 23, 2022 |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
Loss (Sub – RNC, R2) 99 |
Popular Grappler [General MMA knowledge] |
5’10”, 73″, Orthodox |
Trey Ogden |
Apr 16, 2022 |
UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. Muhammad 2 |
Win (Split Dec) 99 |
Well-rounded |
5’11”, 74″, Orthodox |
Matt Sayles |
Dec 18, 2021 |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus |
Win (Sub – Inv. Triangle, R2) 99 |
Striker |
5’9″, 70″, Orthodox |
Claudio Puelles |
Jun 5, 2021 |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai |
Loss (U-Dec) 101 |
Grappler, Leg Lock Specialist |
5’10”, 72″, Southpaw |
Matt Wiman |
Dec 5, 2020 |
UFC on ESPN: Hermansson vs. Vettori |
Win (KO – Slam, R1) 101 |
Veteran Grappler |
5’10”, 70″, Orthodox |
Jose Flores |
Aug 4, 2020 |
Dana White’s Contender Series 27 |
Win (Sub – Arm-Triangle, R1) 101 |
Regional Fighter |
5’9″, 70″, Orthodox |
* **Kurt Holobaugh (Upcoming):** Leavitt is scheduled to face Kurt Holobaugh at UFC on ESPN 68.[4, 97, 100] Both fighters are aiming to rebound from recent losses.[64] Holobaugh is an experienced veteran, and this fight will test Leavitt’s ability to impose his unique grappling style against a seasoned opponent.
* **Chase Hooper (Loss):** Leavitt suffered a first-round rear-naked choke submission loss to Chase Hooper.[99, 101] Hooper is another fighter known for his grappling prowess. This outcome indicates that while Leavitt is a dangerous submission artist himself, he is not infallible on the mat when facing other skilled specialists who can capitalize on openings.
* **Paddy Pimblett (Loss):** Similar to the Hooper fight, Leavitt was submitted in the second round via rear-naked choke by Paddy Pimblett, a popular and proficient grappler.[99, 101] These consecutive submission losses to other grapplers highlight a pattern where opponents with strong BJJ fundamentals can find ways to neutralize Leavitt’s offense and secure submissions against him.
* **Matt Wiman (Win):** This was a highlight-reel victory for Leavitt, who won via a spectacular KO slam in the first round, earning a Performance of the Night bonus.[101] While atypical for his usual submission-focused approach, this win demonstrated his capacity to finish fights in explosive and unexpected ways, significantly boosting his profile.
* **Matt Sayles (Win):** Leavitt secured a win via an inverted triangle choke in the second round.[99] This victory showcased his unorthodox submission arsenal and his ability to find finishes from unconventional positions.
- C. Analysis of Performance Patterns
Jordan Leavitt is primarily an unorthodox grappler, recognized for his tricky submission game and a penchant for unusual finishing techniques like the inverted triangle and anaconda chokes.99 This unique style can make him a difficult opponent to prepare for, as his attacks may come from unexpected angles and positions.
However, a discernible pattern in his losses is his vulnerability to other proficient grapplers. His submission defeats to Chase Hooper and Paddy Pimblett 99, both of whom are known for their BJJ skills, suggest that while Leavitt poses a significant submission threat himself, opponents who can match or exceed his grappling acumen can turn his own strengths against him or exploit defensive lapses on the mat.
His striking is generally employed as a means to facilitate his grappling engagements or as a defensive measure, rather than being his primary method of attack or path to victory. The spectacular slam KO against Matt Wiman 101 remains an outlier in a career largely defined by submission attempts and ground control. Opponents who can successfully defend his takedowns and keep the fight standing for extended periods may be able to exploit his more limited striking arsenal. - D. Upcoming Bout Outlook (vs. Kurt Holobaugh at UFC on ESPN 68)
In his upcoming fight against the veteran Kurt Holobaugh 4, Leavitt will likely aim to get the fight to the ground as quickly as possible to implement his submission game. Holobaugh’s takedown defense and his ability to navigate Leavitt’s tricky and unorthodox submissions will be crucial. Given that both fighters are coming off losses 64, the pressure to secure a victory will be high, potentially leading to a cautious or, conversely, a more desperate approach from either competitor.
II.7. Bolaji Oki: Profile and Performance Pattern Analysis
- A. Fighter Snapshot
- Biographical Data: Bolaji “The Zulu Warrior” Oki is a Belgian mixed martial artist of Zimbabwean heritage, born on November 15, 1995, making him 29 years old as of mid-2025. He fights out of Jette, Brussels, Belgium.103
- Physical Attributes: Oki stands 5 feet 10 inches (178 cm) tall, with a 73-inch (185 cm) reach. He competes in the Lightweight division (155 lbs) and fights from an orthodox stance.103
- Team: He is associated with Da Vinci Fighting and Valon Team.103
- MMA Record: His professional MMA record is 9 wins and 2 losses (9-2-0).103 His UFC record is 1 win and 1 loss (1-1).103
- Key Career Statistics (UFC): In his limited UFC appearances, Oki has demonstrated an active striking game, landing 5.63 significant strikes per minute (SLpM) with 45% accuracy. He absorbs 2.58 SApM with a 63% defense rate. His takedown average is 2.11 per 15 minutes with a high accuracy of 75%, and he has shown an 85% takedown defense.106
- Style: Oki is primarily a powerful and aggressive striker, known for his finishing abilities, with five of his nine wins coming by TKO/KO. He possesses decent boxing skills and often looks to push the pace.103
- B. Opponent History & Performance Context
Oki entered the UFC after a TKO win on Dana White’s Contender Series, showcasing his striking power.
Table: Bolaji Oki – Detailed Opponent Breakdown (UFC & DWCS Fights)
Opponent |
Date |
Event |
Result |
Opponent’s UFC Rank (at time) / Style |
Opponent’s Physicals (H/R/Stance) |
Michael Aswell |
May 31, 2025 |
UFC on ESPN 68 |
Upcoming |
UFC Newcomer (short notice) 64 |
5’8″, 145 lbs (prev. FW) 110 |
Chris Duncan |
Sep 28, 2024 |
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. St. Denis |
Loss (Tech. Sub – Guillotine, R1) 103 |
#109 LW (at time) 107, Grappler |
5’10”, 71″, Orthodox |
Timothy Cuamba |
Feb 10, 2024 |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
Win (Split Dec) 103 |
#238 FW (at time) 107, Striker |
5’11”, 73″, Orthodox |
Dylan Salvador |
Aug 29, 2023 |
Dana White’s Contender Series 2023: Wk 4 |
Win (TKO – Punch to Body, R1) 103 |
#202 LW (at time) 107, Striker |
5’9″, 70″, Southpaw |
* **Michael Aswell (Upcoming):** Oki is scheduled to face Michael Aswell at UFC on ESPN 68. Aswell is a UFC newcomer taking the fight on short notice, replacing MarQuel Mederos who withdrew due to illness.[64, 97] Oki is a significant betting favorite at -375.[97, 98] Aswell previously lost on the Contender Series but rebounded with a win under the Fury FC banner.[64]
* **Chris Duncan (Loss):** Oki suffered a first-round technical submission loss via guillotine choke to Chris Duncan.[103, 107] Duncan, ranked #109 lightweight by FightMatrix at the time [107], is a grappler. This quick defeat in Oki’s second UFC outing immediately raised questions about his defensive grappling capabilities against UFC-caliber submission artists, a concern echoed by some observers who noted he seemed “really lacking when the fight goes to the ground”.[109]
* **Timothy Cuamba (Win):** Oki made a successful, albeit close, UFC debut with a split decision victory over Timothy Cuamba.[103, 107] Cuamba was ranked as a featherweight (#238 by FightMatrix) at the time.[107] This win demonstrated Oki’s ability to compete and secure a victory at the UFC level, even if it required the judges’ scorecards.
* **Dylan Salvador (Win – DWCS):** Oki earned his UFC contract with an impressive first-round TKO victory over Dylan Salvador, stopping him with a punch to the body.[103, 107] This performance highlighted his knockout power and aggressive finishing instincts.
- C. Analysis of Performance Patterns
Bolaji Oki’s fighting style is predominantly that of an aggressive striker with notable power, as evidenced by his multiple TKO/KO victories, including his contract-winning performance on Dana White’s Contender Series.103 He possesses decent boxing fundamentals and often seeks to dictate the pace of the fight with his offensive output.108
A significant area of concern, however, appears to be his grappling defense. The swift submission loss to Chris Duncan in his second UFC fight 103 amplified pre-existing observations about potential vulnerabilities on the ground.109 While his UFC statistics show a high takedown defense percentage (85%) and good offensive takedown accuracy (75%) 106, this is based on a very small sample size. If opponents can successfully navigate his striking and bring the fight to the mat, his Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and defensive grappling will be thoroughly tested. The loss to Duncan, a known grappler, suggests that this is a viable strategy for future opponents.
His striking, while powerful, has been described by some as somewhat limited beyond a good jab, lacking diverse setups or consistent use of tools like calf kicks.109 This could make him predictable against more experienced or defensively sound strikers who can weather his initial aggression. - D. Upcoming Bout Outlook (vs. Michael Aswell at UFC on ESPN 68)
Facing Michael Aswell, a late-notice UFC debutant 64, Oki is heavily favored to win.97 This matchup provides an excellent opportunity for Oki to rebound from his previous loss and showcase the striking power that earned him his UFC spot. The primary path to victory for Oki will be to keep the fight standing, utilize his power advantage, and seek a knockout. Aswell, having the pressure of a short-notice debut, will need to either surprise Oki with unexpected skills or try to exploit any potential grappling deficiencies if the opportunity arises.
II.8. Zachary Reese: Profile and Performance Pattern Analysis
- A. Fighter Snapshot
- Biographical Data: Zachary “Savage” Reese is an American mixed martial artist from Shiner, Texas, born on March 24, 1994, making him 31 years old as of mid-2025.111
- Physical Attributes: Reese possesses a significant frame for the Middleweight division, standing at 6 feet 4 inches 111, and has a 77-inch reach. He utilizes a switch stance.111
- Team: He trains at W4R Training Center.111 He was previously associated with Bangtao Muay Thai.115
- MMA Record: His professional record is 8 wins and 2 losses (8-2-0).111 His UFC record stands at 2 wins and 2 losses (2-2).76
- Key Career Statistics: Reese is a notable finisher, with 87.5% of his professional wins coming inside the distance.111 All of his professional wins prior to his fight with Jose Medina were first-round finishes.116
- Style: Reese is known for his aggressive, dynamic, and often unorthodox offensive style. He is an explosive striker with finishing power in both his strikes and submissions.111
- B. Opponent History & Performance Context
Reese’s career has been marked by quick, decisive outcomes, both in victory and defeat, highlighting his “all or nothing” approach.
Table: Zachary Reese – Detailed Opponent Breakdown (UFC & DWCS Fights)
Opponent |
Date |
Event |
Result |
Opponent’s UFC Rank (at time) / Style |
Opponent’s Physicals (H/R/Stance) |
Dusko Todorovic |
May 31, 2025 |
UFC on ESPN 68 |
Upcoming |
#206 MW 114, Veteran, looking to break losing streak 111 |
6’1″, 74″, Orthodox |
Azamat Bekoev |
Jan 18, 2025 |
UFC 311 |
Loss (KO – Punches, R1) 111 |
#64 MW 114, LFA Champ, Well-rounded 115 |
6’0″, 74″, Orthodox |
Jose Medina |
Aug 24, 2024 |
UFC on ESPN 62 |
Win (U-Dec) 111 |
#263 LHW 114 |
6’1″, 76″, Orthodox |
Julian Marquez |
Jun 8, 2024 |
UFC on ESPN 57 |
Win (TKO – Body Kick/Punches, R1) 114 |
#172 MW 114, Striker |
6’0″, 72″, Orthodox |
Cody Brundage |
Dec 2, 2023 |
UFC on ESPN 52 |
Loss (KO – Slam/Punches, R1) 114 |
#92 MW 114, Wrestler, Power |
6’0″, 72″, Orthodox |
Eli Aronov |
Aug 22, 2023 |
Dana White’s Contender Series 2023: Wk 3 |
Win (Sub – Armbar, R1) 114 |
#157 MW 114, Undefeated at time |
6’0″, 73″, Orthodox |
* **Dusko Todorovic (Upcoming):** Reese is scheduled to face Dusko Todorovic at UFC on ESPN 68.[4, 97, 111] Todorovic, ranked #206 middleweight by FightMatrix [114], is reportedly seeking his first win in over two years.[111] Reese is the betting favorite, with odds between -205 and -238.[4, 97, 98, 111] This matchup appears designed to give Reese an opportunity to showcase his finishing abilities against a veteran opponent looking to regain footing.
* **Azamat Bekoev (Loss):** Reese suffered a first-round knockout loss to Azamat Bekoev.[111, 114] Bekoev, a seasoned veteran with an 18-3 record at the time, former LFA Middleweight Champion, and riding a five-fight win streak [115], was able to counter Reese’s aggression and secure a quick finish. This loss to a powerful and experienced striker indicates that Reese’s offensive onslaught can be met with decisive counters.
* **Jose Medina (Win):** This was Reese’s first professional fight to go to a decision, which he won unanimously.[111, 114] Facing an opponent from the light heavyweight division (#263 LHW [114]) and securing a three-round victory demonstrates an evolution in his game, showcasing an ability to fight at a sustained pace if an early finish doesn’t materialize.
* **Cody Brundage (Loss):** In his official UFC debut, Reese was knocked out in the first round by Cody Brundage via a slam followed by punches.[111, 114] This defeat highlighted a potential vulnerability to powerful wrestlers who can get inside his striking range and execute high-impact takedowns or slams, disrupting his offensive rhythm.
* **Eli Aronov (Win – DWCS):** Reese earned his UFC contract with a first-round armbar submission over the then-undefeated Eli Aronov.[111, 114, 116] This performance was crucial as it showcased not only his finishing instinct but also his well-rounded capabilities, proving he is a threat both on the feet and on the ground.
- C. Analysis of Performance Patterns
Zachary Reese is defined by his aggressive, finish-oriented fighting style. Prior to his decision win over Jose Medina, all of his professional victories had come in the first round 116, underscoring his explosive offensive capabilities. His win finish rate of 87.5% 114 further emphasizes his ability to end fights decisively.
This aggressive approach, however, also presents vulnerabilities. Both of his UFC losses were quick first-round knockouts 111—one via slam and punches to Cody Brundage, and the other via punches to Azamat Bekoev. These results suggest that while Reese is highly dangerous offensively, he can be susceptible to opponents who can match his explosiveness, counter his aggression effectively, or exploit openings during his offensive rushes. Particularly, the loss to Brundage indicated a potential weakness against powerful wrestlers capable of disrupting his striking and imposing a physical grappling game.
His use of a switch stance and an unorthodox offensive arsenal 115 makes him unpredictable and difficult for opponents to prepare for. However, such a style can sometimes create defensive liabilities if not executed with precise timing and fundamental soundness. The fact that his fight against Jose Medina went the distance and resulted in a win 114 is a positive development, indicating an improving ability to manage a fight over three rounds if an early finish does not occur. This experience will be valuable as he faces more durable UFC-caliber opponents. - D. Upcoming Bout Outlook (vs. Dusko Todorovic at UFC on ESPN 68)
The matchup against Dusko Todorovic presents Reese with an opportunity to rebound from his recent KO loss. Todorovic has reportedly been struggling for wins.111 Reese will likely enter the fight with his usual aggressive, finish-seeking mindset. Key factors will be Todorovic’s durability and his ability to withstand Reese’s early offensive onslaught. If Reese can implement his powerful striking or find an opening for a submission early, he has a strong chance of securing another quick victory. If Todorovic can weather the initial storm, Reese’s performance in the later rounds, now with one decision win under his belt, will be further tested.
II.9. Macy Chiasson: Profile and Performance Pattern Analysis
- A. Fighter Snapshot
- Biographical Data: Macy Chiasson is an American mixed martial artist from New Orleans, Louisiana, born on July 27, 1991, making her 33 years old as of mid-2025.117
- Nickname: While not consistently listed on official profiles, she has been referred to as “The Dark Horse”.119
- Physical Attributes: Chiasson is a large fighter for her divisions, standing 5 feet 11 inches (180 cm) tall with a 72-inch (183 cm) reach. She has competed at both Bantamweight (135 lbs) and Featherweight (145 lbs) and fights from an orthodox stance.117
- Team: She trains at Fortis MMA.117
- MMA Record: Her professional MMA record is 10 wins and 3 losses (10-3-0).117 Her UFC record is 8 wins and 3 losses (8-3).121
- Key Career Statistics (UFC): Chiasson lands 3.77 significant strikes per minute (SLpM) with 46% accuracy. She absorbs 2.79 SApM and has a 44% significant strike defense. Her takedown average is 2.37 per 15 minutes with 38% accuracy, and she possesses a 70% takedown defense.120 Her win finish percentage is 60%.121
- Titles: Chiasson was the winner of The Ultimate Fighter 28 (TUF 28) at featherweight.122
- Style: She is a well-rounded fighter who utilizes her significant size and strength advantage in her divisions. Her style incorporates striking and grappling, and she holds a brown belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and a brown belt in Krav Maga.122
- B. Opponent History & Performance Context
Chiasson has competed against a range of ranked opponents in both the bantamweight and featherweight divisions, showcasing her versatility and toughness.
Table: Macy Chiasson – Detailed Opponent Breakdown (Key UFC Fights)
Opponent |
Date |
Event |
Result |
Opponent’s UFC Rank (at time) / Style |
Opponent’s Physicals (H/R/Stance) |
Ketlen Vieira |
May 31, 2025 |
UFC on ESPN 68 (Featherweight) |
Upcoming |
#8 W135 121 / #3 WFW 97, Grappler |
5’8″, 68″, Orthodox |
Mayra Bueno Silva |
Jun 29, 2024 |
UFC 303 |
Win (TKO – Dr. Stoppage, R2) 121 |
#6 WBW 121, Grappler |
5’6″, 66.5″, Orthodox |
Pannie Kianzad |
Mar 16, 2024 |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
Win (Sub – RNC, R1) 121 |
#6 WBW 121, Striker |
5’7″, 66″, Orthodox |
Irene Aldana |
Sep 10, 2022 |
UFC 279 |
Loss (KO – Upkick to Body, R3) 121 |
#6 WBW 121, Boxer |
5’9″, 68.5″, Orthodox |
Norma Dumont |
May 7, 2022 |
UFC 274 (Featherweight) |
Win (Split Dec) 121 |
#5 WFW 121, Striker |
5’7″, 67″, Orthodox |
Raquel Pennington |
Dec 18, 2021 |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus |
Loss (Sub – Guillotine, R2) 121 |
#3 WBW 121, Veteran Grappler/Striker |
5’7″, 67.5″, Orthodox |
Marion Reneau |
Mar 20, 2021 |
UFC on ESPN: Brunson vs. Holland |
Win (U-Dec) 121 |
#18 WBW 121, Veteran |
5’6″, 68″, Orthodox |
Lina Lansberg |
Sep 28, 2019 |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier |
Loss (U-Dec) 121 |
#9 WBW 121, Striker |
5’7″, 65″, Orthodox |
* **Ketlen Vieira (Upcoming):** Chiasson is set to face Ketlen Vieira in a featherweight bout at UFC on ESPN 68.[4, 64, 97] Vieira, ranked #3 in the women’s featherweight division and #8 at bantamweight [97, 121], is known for her strong grappling. This matchup will test Chiasson’s ability to leverage her size and striking to counter Vieira’s grappling attacks. The fight being contested at featherweight may play to Chiasson’s natural size and strength.[64]
* **Mayra Bueno Silva (Win):** Chiasson secured a TKO victory via doctor stoppage in the second round against Mayra Bueno Silva, who was ranked #6 in the women’s bantamweight division at the time.[121] This win over a ranked opponent demonstrated her ability to finish fights against durable competitors.
* **Irene Aldana (Loss):** Chiasson suffered a rare and devastating knockout loss via an upkick to the body in the third round against Irene Aldana, then ranked #6 bantamweight.[121] While Aldana is a skilled boxer, this unusual fight-ending sequence might be more of an anomaly than an indicator of a consistent defensive flaw against strikers.
* **Raquel Pennington (Loss):** This second-round submission loss via guillotine choke was against the crafty veteran Raquel Pennington, who was ranked #3 bantamweight.[121] This outcome highlighted that despite Chiasson’s size and strength advantages, technically proficient grapplers can find openings and capitalize on them.
* **Norma Dumont (Win):** Competing at featherweight, Chiasson earned a split decision victory over Norma Dumont, who was ranked #5 in the division.[121] This win showcased her ability to compete effectively and win close fights in the heavier weight class against ranked opposition.
- C. Analysis of Performance Patterns
Macy Chiasson consistently leverages her significant physical advantages—standing 5’11” with a 72-inch reach 117—in both the bantamweight and featherweight divisions. This size and strength often translate to effective control in clinch situations and on the ground. Her TUF 28 victory at featherweight 122 underscored her potential in that division early in her UFC career.
She possesses a well-rounded skillset, evidenced by victories via KO/TKO, submission, and decision.117 This versatility makes her a threat in multiple phases of a fight. Her takedown average of 2.37 per 15 minutes with a 70% takedown defense 120 indicates she is capable both offensively and defensively in the wrestling department.
However, Chiasson has demonstrated inconsistency when facing the upper echelon of her divisions. Her losses to top-ranked fighters like Irene Aldana (a skilled striker) and Raquel Pennington (a savvy veteran grappler) 121 suggest that while she is a formidable presence, elite opponents with specialized strengths can exploit certain aspects of her game. The loss to Pennington, in particular, showed that technical grappling can overcome her physical advantages. Her takedown defense, while generally solid, has been breached by strong wrestlers, and her own takedown accuracy of 38% 120 means she may not always be able to dictate where the fight takes place against opponents with strong defensive wrestling. - D. Upcoming Bout Outlook (vs. Ketlen Vieira at UFC on ESPN 68)
The featherweight contest against Ketlen Vieira presents a significant challenge.64 Vieira is a powerful grappler known for her control and submission ability. Chiasson will need to effectively use her striking, maintain distance, and leverage her size and strength to nullify Vieira’s takedown attempts. If the fight goes to the ground, Chiasson’s defensive BJJ and ability to use her frame to create scrambles or reversals will be crucial. Fighting at featherweight should allow Chiasson to compete closer to her natural weight, potentially enhancing her strength and cardio without a draining cut to bantamweight.
II.10. Dustin Jacoby: Profile and Performance Pattern Analysis
- A. Fighter Snapshot
- Biographical Data: Dustin “The Hanyak” Jacoby is an American mixed martial artist, born on April 4, 1988, making him 37 years old as of mid-2025.123
- Physical Attributes: Jacoby’s height is listed as either 6’3″ 123 or 6’4″.125 He competes at 205 lbs in the Light Heavyweight division, with a reach of 76 inches 123 or 78 inches.125 He fights from an orthodox stance.123
- Team: He trains with Factory X Muay Thai.125 His previous affiliations include Finney’s HIT Squad and Fiore MMA.125
- MMA Record: His professional MMA record is 20 wins, 9 losses, and 1 draw (20-9-1).123
- Key Career Statistics (UFC): Jacoby is an active striker, landing 5.33 significant strikes per minute (SLpM) with 47% accuracy. He absorbs 4.05 SApM and has a 57% significant strike defense. His takedown average is low at 0.33 per 15 minutes with 25% accuracy, but he maintains a respectable takedown defense of 62%.123 Of his 20 wins, 13 are by KO/TKO.127
- Titles: Jacoby is a former Cage Fury FC Middleweight Champion.127
- Style: Jacoby is primarily a high-volume, technical kickboxer with a strong striking pedigree, good footwork, and generally solid takedown defense, preferring to keep fights standing.125 He began training in Taekwondo at the age of 4 and also has a background in wrestling.128
- B. Opponent History & Performance Context
Jacoby’s career includes two separate stints in the UFC, with his more recent run demonstrating significant improvements and success as a technical striker in the light heavyweight division.
Table: Dustin Jacoby – Detailed Opponent Breakdown (Recent UFC Fights)
Opponent |
Date |
Event |
Result |
Opponent’s UFC Rank (at time) / Style |
Opponent’s Physicals (H/R/Stance) |
Bruno Lopes |
May 31, 2025 |
UFC on ESPN 68 |
Upcoming |
12-1 MMA Record |
6’2″, 74″, Southpaw |
Vitor Petrino |
Dec 14, 2024 |
UFC Fight Night |
Loss (KO/TKO, R3) 127 |
Rising Powerful Prospect [General MMA knowledge] |
6’2″, 77″, Orthodox |
Dominick Reyes |
Jun 8, 2024 |
UFC Fight Night |
Loss (KO/TKO, R1) 127 |
Former Title Challenger, Power Striker |
6’4″, 77″, Southpaw |
Alonzo Menifield |
Dec 16, 2023 |
UFC Fight Night |
Loss (U-Dec) 127 |
Power Puncher |
6’0″, 76″, Orthodox |
Kennedy Nzechukwu |
Aug 5, 2023 |
UFC on ESPN |
Win (TKO – Strikes, R1) 127 |
Rangy Striker |
6’5″, 83″, Southpaw |
Azamat Murzakanov |
Apr 15, 2023 |
UFC on ESPN |
Loss (U-Dec) 127 |
Undefeated Power Puncher |
5’10”, 71″, Southpaw |
Khalil Rountree Jr. |
Oct 29, 2022 |
UFC Fight Night |
Loss (Split Dec) 127 |
Dangerous Muay Thai Striker |
6’1″, 76.5″, Southpaw |
Da Un Jung |
Jul 16, 2022 |
UFC on ABC |
Win (KO – Punch, R1) 127 |
Well-rounded, Powerful |
6’4″, 78.5″, Orthodox |
* **Bruno Lopes (Upcoming):** Jacoby is scheduled to face Bruno Lopes at UFC on ESPN 68.[4, 97] Lopes, a Brazilian fighter, will present a stylistic test for Jacoby. Jacoby is favored with odds around -192.[4, 97]
* **Vitor Petrino (Loss):** Jacoby suffered a third-round KO/TKO loss to the rising and powerful prospect Vitor Petrino.[127] This defeat against a younger, explosive fighter indicated that while Jacoby is technically sound, he can be vulnerable to overwhelming power later in fights.
* **Dominick Reyes (Loss):** A first-round KO/TKO loss to Dominick Reyes, a former light heavyweight title challenger known for his potent striking [127], further underscored Jacoby’s susceptibility against elite power strikers who can land decisively.
* **Alonzo Menifield (Loss):** This unanimous decision loss was to another fighter known for his knockout power.[127] While Jacoby avoided being finished, Menifield was able to outwork or outpoint him over three rounds, suggesting that opponents who can consistently land damaging shots without being deterred by Jacoby’s technical striking can find success.
* **Khalil Rountree Jr. (Loss):** Jacoby lost a close split decision to Khalil Rountree Jr., another dangerous striker in the division.[127] This fight demonstrated Jacoby’s competitiveness against fellow knockout artists but also his vulnerability in closely contested striking battles that go to the judges.
- C. Analysis of Performance Patterns
Dustin Jacoby’s fighting style is firmly rooted in his extensive kickboxing background, which includes experience in Glory Kickboxing and an early foundation in Taekwondo.125 He is a technical, high-volume striker who relies on footwork, combinations, and a diverse striking arsenal.127 His significant strike output of 5.33 per minute, coupled with a 47% accuracy rate 123, illustrates his active and effective stand-up game.
A crucial component of Jacoby’s success is his ability to keep fights in his preferred striking domain. His takedown defense of 62% 123 is generally effective in neutralizing opponents who seek to take him to the mat. When opponents cannot consistently ground him, they are forced to engage in striking exchanges where Jacoby often holds a technical advantage.
However, recent losses have highlighted a vulnerability to high-level power and explosiveness. The KO/TKO defeats to Vitor Petrino and Dominick Reyes 127 indicate that while technically proficient, Jacoby can be caught and finished by opponents possessing superior one-punch knockout power or overwhelming offensive bursts. His significant strikes absorbed per minute (SApM) is 4.05 123; while not excessively high, it shows he is hittable, which is a risk against the power punchers prevalent in the light heavyweight division.
Jacoby’s career is a tale of two UFC stints. His initial run in 2011-2012 was unsuccessful, leading to his release.127 His return to the promotion in 2020, following success on Dana White’s Contender Series, marked a significant resurgence. This later phase of his career has showcased considerable improvements in his overall MMA game, particularly in his ability to apply his striking effectively within the octagon and defend takedowns from UFC-caliber opponents.127 - D. Upcoming Bout Outlook (vs. Bruno Lopes at UFC on ESPN 68)
Dustin Jacoby enters his bout against Bruno Lopes as the betting favorite at approximately -192.4 The stylistic nature of Lopes will be a determining factor. If Lopes is primarily a grappler, Jacoby’s takedown defense will be critical to keeping the fight standing where he can deploy his technical kickboxing. If Lopes prefers to strike, the fight could evolve into an intriguing stand-up battle. In such a scenario, Jacoby’s experience, higher striking volume, and technical acumen could provide him with an edge, though he must remain defensively responsible against potential power shots.
III. Concluding Insights and Strategic Considerations
The analysis of these ten fighters reveals several overarching themes pertinent to performance and career trajectory in the UFC.
- A. Synthesis of Cross-Fighter Performance Patterns:
- Impact of Specialized Styles: Fighters with highly specialized skill sets, such as Allan Nascimento’s BJJ or Dustin Jacoby’s kickboxing, often find their success hinges on their ability to dictate the phase of combat. Nascimento excels when grappling exchanges are on his terms, but his low takedown defense can be exploited.2 Jacoby thrives in striking battles but has shown vulnerability to overwhelming power.127 Mateusz Gamrot’s dominant wrestling is his key 25, but he faces challenges when opponents can neutralize it and out-strike him.31 This underscores the necessity for even specialists to develop well-rounded defensive capabilities and alternative paths to victory.
- The “Apex Effect” and Environmental Factors: Mateusz Gamrot’s undefeated record in the smaller UFC Apex octagon (5-0 30) suggests that the reduced cage size can significantly benefit pressure wrestlers by limiting an opponent’s space to disengage. This is a crucial consideration for fight preparation and strategy when competing at that venue.
- Navigating Weight Class Transitions: Rayanne dos Santos’s move from Invicta FC Atomweight Champion to UFC Strawweight has coincided with two close split decision losses.62 This highlights the challenges fighters face when moving up in weight, including adapting to potentially larger, stronger opponents and different competitive dynamics, even if the skill set is high. Macy Chiasson’s ability to compete at both bantamweight and featherweight showcases versatility, but consistency against the top of either division requires specific strategic adjustments for each weight class.117
- Managing Activity and Layoffs: Allan Nascimento’s nearly 900-day layoff presents a significant variable for his return.4 While he credits yoga and refined training, ring rust against an aggressive opponent is a valid concern. Conversely, fighters like Mateusz Gamrot, who actively seek fights even against unranked opponents to stay busy 27, aim to maintain sharpness but risk setbacks with limited ranking rewards.
- The Importance of “Winning Clearly”: The split decision losses for Rayanne dos Santos, despite media scoring in her favor in one instance 62, and the controversial nature of some of Mateusz Gamrot’s wins 31, emphasize the importance of not just executing a game plan but doing so in a manner that leaves no doubt in the judges’ minds. This often involves demonstrating effective aggression, octagon control, and, crucially, inflicting visible damage.
- B. Broader Implications for Fighter Development and Matchmaking:
- Defensive Evolution for Specialists: For fighters like Nascimento (takedown defense) and Bolaji Oki (submission defense 103), shoring up defensive liabilities in their non-primary skill areas is paramount for sustained success against the well-rounded talent in the UFC.
- Strategic Use of Aggression: Allan Nascimento’s success with a more aggressive approach against Carlos Hernandez 5 and Billy Goff’s general high-pressure style 77 suggest that calculated aggression can be highly effective. However, for fighters like Goff, this must be balanced with defensive responsibility to avoid being countered by powerful or technical opponents, as seen in his loss to Trey Waters.76 Zachary Reese’s all-or-nothing finishing style also falls into this category, with immense offensive upside but also exposure to quick, decisive losses if his initial attacks are weathered or countered.111
- Matchmaking for Contenders: Erin Blanchfield’s path, consistently facing top-ranked opponents 95, demonstrates a clear route to title contention. For fighters like Mateusz Gamrot, securing these high-stakes matchups is crucial for advancement but can be challenging.27 The UFC’s matchmaking often balances building new stars with testing established contenders.
- Adaptability to Physical Disadvantages: Fighters who frequently face opponents with height and reach advantages, such as Allan Nascimento at times or Billy Goff against Trey Waters, must develop specific strategies to negate these attributes, whether through superior footwork, explosive entries, or relentless pressure to close the distance.
This report has aimed to provide a detailed and nuanced understanding of the selected fighters by analyzing their past performances in the context of their opponents’ styles, records, and physical attributes. The identified patterns and strategic considerations offer a framework for anticipating future performances and understanding the complex dynamics of elite mixed martial arts competition.
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